Having just written a story in which I shat all over people who do Tetlockian predictions, here I am trying my hand at them. Apologies to those friends and acquaintances to whom I promised a forecasting competition a few months ago: work and then personal issues got in the way.
Predictions for 2022
Predictions for 2022
Predictions for 2022
Having just written a story in which I shat all over people who do Tetlockian predictions, here I am trying my hand at them. Apologies to those friends and acquaintances to whom I promised a forecasting competition a few months ago: work and then personal issues got in the way.